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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCM Greenhouse Gas Emmissioins Report and Sustainability Priorities Progress Update PPTANNUAL UPDATE Greenhouse Gas Inventory & Sustainability Priorities November 3, 2025 ANNUAL UPDATE Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Two-Year Priorities November 3, 2025 Tonight’s Presentation: 1.Context: Climate Action & State of the Climate 2.2023 Greenhouse Gas inventory 3.Question pause 4.Sustainability Priority Workplan Update 5.Building Electrification Roadmap 6.Discussion 2 3 HIGHEST: •Heat year on record •Level of ocean heat content •Concentration of heat- trapping gases •Mean sea levels Facts and Figures: 2024 4 Facts and Figures: 2024 WORLDWIDE: •Solar installations up 64% •EV sales up 30% worldwide LOCAL: •SMART ridership up 38% •62% of electricity in CA from renewable sources •Marin: 2nd in EV adoption in CA Climate Change Action Plan 5 Elements •40% GHG reduction goal by 2030* •54 measures •Economy & Equity centered •Regular updates Our Challenge •Local mandate, global influences •City control limited •Competing priorities 2023 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Christine O’ Rourke, Marin Climate and Energy Partnership 6 Marin Climate & Energy Partnership  Since 2007  Partnership of all Marin jurisdictions plus MCE Clean Energy, TAM and MMWD  Work together to implement mutual CAP programs  Complete annual community GHG emissions inventories and municipal inventories every five years. Marin Climate & Energy Partnership  Activity-based vs. consumption-based  Consumption-based includes:  Upstream emissions  Mining, growing, producing, packaging, shipping  Food production  Air travel 44 MTCO2e Consumption-based 14 MTCO2e Activity-based We all need to do our part to get to our goals Emissions by Source 2022 2023 Built Environment - Electricity 2% Built Environment - Natural Gas 27% Waste 3% Water & Wastewater <1%Off-Road 1% Transportation 67% Built Environment - Electricity 6% Built Environment - Natural Gas 26% Waste 3% Wastewater <1% Off-Road 1% Transportation 66% Emissions Down 24% Since 1990 2030 Goal – 40% Below 1990 Level 2045 State Mitigation Goal – 85% Below 1990 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 MT C O 2e Sector Highlights Since 2005… Electricity emissions down 93% due to lower carbon intensity of electricity Electricity use down 23% Natural gas use and emissions down 10% Transportation emissions down 24% due to better fuel efficiency, and more ZEVs Vehicle miles traveled (VMT) flat 9.3% ZEVs in Marin County and 7.3% ZEVs in San Rafael 2023 CAP target is 25% ZEVs in San Rafael by 2030 Waste emissions down 46% due to lower organic content in landfilled waste Waste disposal in landfills down 20% ZEV Growth in Marin 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 Nu m b e r o f Z E V s ZEV Growth Trend Existing ZEVs Annual Increase in ZEVs 11% 14% 17% 21% 26% 33% 41% 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 Nu m b e r o f Z E V s ZEV Projection at 2024 Growth Rate (21%) Light-Duty Vehicle Population in California Emissions Projection with 2005-2023 Trendline - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 20 0 5 20 0 6 20 0 7 20 0 8 20 0 9 20 1 0 20 1 1 20 1 2 20 1 3 20 1 4 20 1 5 20 1 6 20 1 7 20 1 8 20 1 9 20 2 0 20 2 1 20 2 2 20 2 3 20 2 4 20 2 5 20 2 6 20 2 7 20 2 8 20 2 9 20 3 0 Actual Emissions Emissions Reduction Needed to Reach State Goal Linear (Actual Emissions) Emissions Clarifications in Report Correction 1: Page 1, Executive Summary “San Rafael needs to reduce emissions by another 64,755 MTCO 2e to meet the local and State target for 2030.” - The report had a typo and stated the number as 6076,040 MTCO 2e Correction 2: Page 1, Executive Summary “San Rafael needs to reduce GHG emissions by another 245,995 MTCO2e to meet the GHG mitigation target for 2045, as shown in Figure 1.” - The report had a typo and stated the number as 257,280 MTCO2e. A new report with these corrections will be entered into the record. Questions? 2023-2025 Two-Year Priority Workplan Update 16 Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Two-Year Priorities November 3, 2025 •6 Completed •8 In Progress •3 Ongoing 11 Action Items Department Integration SB 1383 Climate Financing District Electric Vehicle Strategy Workplan Energy Efficiency and Electrification Equitable Low-Carbon Economy Illegal Dumping Sea Level Rise Project Climate Resilience Plan State Laws Reimagine the Volunteer Program O.D.A.A. 1. Integrate Climate Action Into Department Goals and Projects •CIP – EV Charging •Fleet Policy and Transition •Equitable Low Carbon Economy Plan •Green Business resources •Illegal dumping program •Fleet transition •SB 1383 planning •GHG metrics •Procurement & surplus equip. policies •Climate FinanceIN PROGRESS CL I M A T E J U S T I C E & A D A P T A T I O N P L A N N I N G 2. Implement SB 1383 Mandates M.O.U. COMPLETE STAFFING HIRED IMPLEMENTATION ONGOING 3. Explore a Climate Resilience District IN PROGRESS IN 2025-2028 WORKPLAN 4. Adopt and Implement an Electric Vehicle Strategy Workplan PLAN COMPLETE IMPLEMENTATION IN PROGRESS IN 2025-2028 WORKPLAN 5. Promote Building Energy Efficiency & Electrification CODE ADOPTION COMPLETE IMPLEMENTATION IN PROGRESS IN 2025-2028 WORKPLAN 6. Develop Equitable Low- Carbon Economy Workplan and Begin Implementation WORKPLAN COMPLETE GRANT RECEIVED IMPLEMENTATION IN PROGRESS 7. Finalize Illegal Dumping Recommendations for Council Consideration PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT COMPLETE STAFF HIRED IMPLEMENTATION IN PROGRESS 8. Complete Sea Level Rise Feasibility Study STUDY COMPLETE REPORT IN PROGRESS 9. Develop a Citywide Climate Resilience Plan IN 2025-2028 WORKPLAN 10. Implement and Respond to State Laws ONGOING 11. Reimagine the Volunteer Program REVAMP COMPLETE IMPLEMENTATION IN PROGRESS 2025-2028 Strategic Plan 29 Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Two-Year Priorities November 3, 2025 Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Countywide Project to Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Implement Items in Building Electrification Roadmap Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Building Electrification Roadmap Completed Items A.Create a “Central Hub” for easy access to electrification information and resources B.Implement advanced green building and electrification codes Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Building Electrification Roadmap In Progress Items C. Implement permit streamlining and incentives E. Develop the building energy and electrification workforce pipeline G. Implement actions in partnership with community-based organizations H. Implement the Marin Countywide EV Acceleration Strategy Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Building Electrification Roadmap County or Other Agency-led Items D. Provide low-cost financing programs F. Work with PG&E to improve infrastructure planning I. Implement a time of listing energy assessment policy J. Pilot a neighborhood-scale electrification pilot project Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Implement General Plan Policy Commitments for Climate Resilience Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day Cleanups Explore Governance Models and Formal Collaborative for Climate Adaptation Financing Coastal Cleanup Day & Earth Day CleanupsDevelop Guidance & Tools to Incorporate Climate Justice Social Equity Climate Change Climate Justice Climate Change Action Plan Status 38 Recap •40%  goal •23% to date •On track for 2030 •Challenge is 2045 Questions and Feedback CityofSanRafael.org/green